Markus G. Donat

Markus G. Donat

Barcelona Supercomputing Center - Centro Nacional de Supercomputación

Experimental Sciences & Mathematics

I am a Meteorologist by training, and obtained my PhD in Meteorology and Climatology at the Freie Universität Berlin in June 2010. Between 2011 and 2018 I held postdoctoral positions and fellowships at the University of New South Wales in Sydney, Australia, where I focused my research on developing a robust understanding of how different types of climatic extremes are changing in observations and climate model simulations. In 2018 I moved to the Barcelona Supercomputing Center, where I am co-leading the Climate Prediction Group and have been a Ramón y Cajal Fellow since 2019. I have been appointed as ICREA Research Professor in February 2022. Recognitions of my scientific achievements include being awarded the World Climate Research Program and Global Climate Observing System International Data Prize in 2017, and the AXA Climate Award in 2021.

Research interests

My research aims to understand and predict how different types of climate extremes, such as heatwaves, intense precipitation or storms, are changing in the context of climate variability and long-term climate change related to global warming. This involves studying weather and climate processes that cause or amplify such extreme events, and how they respond to different climate drivers. My work involves the development and analysis of high-quality observational datasets of climate extremes, and different types of climate model simulations aiming to predict climate in the near-term (e.g. next years and decade) and more distant future. A key focus is to reduce the uncertainty related to climate variability in these climate predictions. I also explore the efficacy of land-based approaches to mitigate climate change by removing and storing carbon dioxide from the atmosphere, and how these mitigation approaches may be put at risk through exposure to extreme weather and climate events.

Selected publications

- Donat MG, Delgado-Torres C, De Luca P, Mahmood R, Ortega P & Doblas-Reyes FJ 2023, 'How Credibly Do CMIP6 Simulations Capture Historical Mean and Extreme Precipitation Changes?', Geophysical Research Letters, 50, 14, e2022GL102466.
- Liu Y, Donat MG, England MH, Alexander LV, Hirsch AL, Delgado-Torres C 2023, 'Enhanced multi-year predictability after El Niño and La Niña events', Nature Communications, 14, 1, 6387.
- De Luca P, Delgado-Torres C, Mahmood R, Samso-Cabre M & Donat MG 2023, 'Constraining decadal variability regionally improves near-term projections of hot, cold and dry extremes', Environmental Research Letters, 18, 9, 094054.

Selected research activities

I spent the first 3.5 months of the year coordinating a consortium for a Horizon Europe call. The proposal has been successful, and the project "EXPECT" will start in 2024 under my coordination.
I have been identified as highly cited researcher by Clarivate.
I was invited lecturer at the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) Annual Seminar