Francisco Javier Doblas-Reyes

Institut Català de Ciències del Clima (IC3) & Barcelona Supercomputing Center - Centro Nacional de Supercomputación (BSC - CNS)

Experimental Sciences & Mathematics

I started working on climate variability at the Universidad Complutense de Madrid (Spain) in 1992, where I did my PhD. I then worked as a postdoc in Météofrance (Toulouse, France), at the Instituto Nacional de Técnica Aerospacial (Torrejón, Spain) and for ten years at the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (Reading, UK). I am the head of the Department of Earth Sciences of the Barcelona Supercomputing Center (BSC-CNS), where I coordinate the largest FP7 project on climate prediction. The Department hosts more than 50 engineers, physicists, mathematicians and other air quality and climate researchers who try to bring the latest developments in supercomputing and Big Data to provide the best information and services. I am author of more than 100 peer-reviewed papers, member of several international scientific committees and supervisor of several postdocs and one PhD student.

Research interests

Global climate is highly variable, which implies that there is much more to understand than just climate change. Climate prediction aims at predicting the variations of climate at different time scales, ranging from one month to several years beyond the start of the forecast. I use an Earth system model based on differential equations to explore the limits of the forecast quality over different parts of the globe, in particular over Africa, South America and Southern Europe, and statistical techniques to adapt the resulting climate information to specific user needs. Improving the application of this climate information to different socio-economic sectors, with a special focus on energy and disaster risk management, is the final target.

Selected publications

– Osman M, Vera CS & Doblas-Reyes FJ 2016, ‘Predictability of the tropospheric circulation in the Southern Hemisphere from CHFP models’, Climate Dynamics, 46, 2423-2434, doi:10.1007/s00382-015-2710-2.

– Prodhomme C, Doblas-Reyes FJ, Bellprat O & Dutra E 2016, ‘Impact of land-surface initialization on sub-seasonal to seasonal forecasts over Europe’, Climate Dynamics, 47, 919-935, doi:10.1007/s00382-015-2879-4.

– Bellprat O & Doblas-Reyes FJ 2016, ‘Attribution of extreme weather and climate events overestimated by unreliable climate simulations’, Geophysical Research Letters, 43, 2158-2164, doi:10.1002/2015GL067189.

– Prodhomme C, Batté L, Massonnet F, Davini P, Bellprat O, Guemas V & Doblas-Reyes FJ 2016, ‘Benefits of increasing the model resolution for the seasonal forecast quality in EC-Earth’, Journal of Climate, 29, 9141-9162, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0117.1.

– Guemas V, Chevallier M, Déqué M, Bellprat O & Doblas‐Reyes FJ 2016, ‘Impact of sea ice initialization on sea ice and atmosphere prediction skill on seasonal timescales’, Geophysical Research Letters, 43, 3889-3896, doi:10.1002/2015GL066626.

– Boer GJ, Smith DM, Cassou C, Doblas-Reyes FJ, Danabasoglu G, Kirtman B, Kushnir Y, Kimoto M, Meehl AM, Msadek R, Mueller WA, Taylor K & Zwiers F 2016, ‘The Decadal Climate Prediction Project’, Geoscientific Model Development, 9, 3751-3777, doi:10.5194/gmd-2016-78.

– Massonnet F, Bellprat O, Guemas V & Doblas-Reyes FJ 2016, ‘Using climate models to estimate the quality of global observational data sets’, Science, 6311, 452-455, doi:10.1126/science.aaf6369.

Selected research activities

– Co-author of 21 peer-reviewed papers.

– Organiser of the SPECS/PREFACE/WCRP Workshop on Initial Shock, Drift, and Bias Adjustment in Climate Prediction (Barcelona, May 2016).

– Tutor of two Juan de la Cierva researchers.

– Member of the Research Advisory Committee of the Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology (Pune, India).