I started to work on climate variability at the Universidad Complutense de Madrid (Spain) in 1992, where I did my PhD in physics. I worked as a postdoc in Météo-France (Toulouse), at the Instituto Nacional de Técnica Aerospacial (Torrejón, Spain) and for ten years at the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (Reading, UK). I was group leader at the Institut Català de Ciències del Clima from 2010 to 2015. I now lead the Department of Earth Sciences of the Barcelona Supercomputing Center (BSC), which hosts more than 170 engineers, and natural and social scientists working on supercomputing and data analysis to provide the best information and services on climate and air quality. I am author of more than 200 peer-reviewed papers (h index 73, Google Scholar), lead author of the Fifth and Sixth Assessment Reports of the IPCC, member of several international scientific committees and advisory boards, and direct supervisor of around 30 postdocs, engineers and PhD students.
Research interests
Global climate is highly variable, which implies that there is much more to understand than just climate change. Climate prediction aims at predicting the variations of climate at different time scales, ranging from one month to several years beyond the start of the forecast. I use an Earth system model based on differential equations to explore the limits of the forecast quality over different parts of the globe, in particular over Africa, South America, the Arctic and Southern Europe. I develop this model to explore the advantages of increasing its resolution to better reproduce the physical processes at the origin of climate variability. I also use statistical techniques to adapt the resulting climate information to specific user needs. Improving the application of this climate information to different socio-economic sectors, with a special focus on energy and disaster risk management, is one of my main targets to try to make a change in both society and the economy.
Selected publications
- Donat MG, Mahmood R, Cos P, Ortega P, Doblas-Reyes F, 2024 'Improving the forecast quality of near-term climate projections by constraining internal variability based on decadal predictions and observations', Environmental Research-Climate, 3, 035013
- Bilbao R, Ortega P, Swingedouw D, Hermanson L, Athanasiadis P, Eade R, Devilliers M, Doblas-Reyes F, Dunstone N, Ho AC, Merryfield W, Mignot J, Nicolì D, Samsó M, Sospedra-Alfonso R, Wu X & Yeager S 2024, 'Impact of volcanic eruptions on CMIP6 decadal predictions: a multi-model analysis', Earth system dynamics, 15 - 2 - 501 - 525.
- Ramon J, Lledó L, Ferro CAT, Doblas-Reyes FJ 2024, 'Uncertainties in the observational reference: Implications in skill assessment and model ranking of seasonal predictions', Quarterly journal of the royal meteorological society, 150, 897 - 910.
Acosta, MC et al. 2024, '- The computational and energy cost of simulation and storage for climate science: lessons from CMIP6', Geoscientific model development, 17 - 8 - 3081 - 3098 - .
- Doblas-Reyes FJ, St Clair AL, Pacchetti MB, Checchia P, Cortekar J, Klostermann JEM, Krauss W, Muñoz AG, Mysiak J, Paz J, Terrado M, Villwock A, Volarev M & Zorita S 2024, 'Standardisation of equitable climate services by supporting a community of practice', Climate services, 36 - 100520.
- Cos P, Marcos-Matamoros R, Donat M, Mahmood R & Doblas-Reyes FJ 2024, 'Near-Term Mediterranean Summer Temperature Climate Projections: A Comparison of Constraining Methods', Journal of climate, 37 - 17 - 4367 - 4388.
- Mindlin J, Vera CS, Shepherd TG, Doblas-Reyes FJ, Gonzalez-Reviriego N, Osman M & Terrado M 2024, 'Assessment of plausible changes in Climatic Impact-Drivers relevant for the viticulture sector: A storyline approach with a climate service perspective', Climate services, 34 -100480.