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Francisco Javier Doblas-Reyes

Francisco Javier Doblas-Reyes

Barcelona Supercomputing Center - Centro Nacional de Supercomputación

Experimental Sciences & Mathematics

I started working on climate variability at the Universidad Complutense de Madrid (Spain) in 1992, where I did my PhD. I then worked as a postdoc in Météofrance (Toulouse, France), at the Instituto Nacional de Técnica Aerospacial (Torrejón, Spain) and for ten years at the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (Reading, UK). I led the Climate Forecast Unit at the Institut Català de Ciències del Clima (IC3) from 2010 to 2015. I am currently the head of the Department of Earth Sciences of the Barcelona Supercomputing Center (BSC-CNS). The Department hosts more than 100 engineers, physicists, mathematicians and social scientists who bring the latest developments in supercomputing and data analysis to provide the best information and services on climate and air quality. I am author of more than 200 peer-reviewed papers (h index 61, Google Scholar), member of several international scientific committees and supervisor of around 20 postdocs, engineers and PhD students.

Research interests

Global climate is highly variable, which implies that there is much more to understand than just climate change. Climate prediction aims at predicting the variations of climate at different time scales, ranging from one month to several years beyond the start of the forecast. I use an Earth system model based on differential equations to explore the limits of the forecast quality over different parts of the globe, in particular over Africa, South America, the Arctic and Southern Europe. I develop this model to explore the advantages of increasing its resolution to better reproduce the physical processes at the origin of climate variability. I also use statistical techniques to adapt the resulting climate information to specific user needs. Improving the application of this climate information to different socio-economic sectors, with a special focus on energy and disaster risk management, is one of my main targets to try to make a change in both society and the economy.

Selected publications

– Ramon, Jaume; Lledo, Llorenc; Bretonniere, Pierre-Antoine; Samso, Margarida; Doblas-Reyes, Francisco J. 2021, ‘A perfect prognosis downscaling methodology for seasonal prediction of local-scale wind speeds’, Environmental Research Letters, 16, 5, 054010.

Doblas-Reyes, F.J., A.A. Sörensson, M. Almazroui, A. Dosio, W.J. Gutowski, R. Haarsma, R. Hamdi, B. Hewitson, W.-T. Kwon, B.L. Lamptey, D. Maraun, T.S. Stephenson, I. Takayabu, L. Terray, A. Turner and Z. Zuo (2021). ‘Linking global to regional climate change. Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Masson-Delmotte’, V., P. Zhai, et al (eds.), Cambridge University Press.

– Mahmood, R., M.G. Donat, P. Ortega, F.J. Doblas-Reyes and Y. Ruprich-Robert (2021). ‘Constraining decadal variability yields skillful projections of near-term climate change‘. Geophysical Research Letters, 48, e2021GL094915,

– Solaraju-Murali, Balakrishnan; Gonzalez-Reviriego, Nube; Caron, Louis-Philippe; Ceglar, Andrej; Toreti, Andrea; Zampieri, Matteo; Bretonniere, Pierre-Antoine; Samso Cabre, Margarita; Doblas-Reyes, Francisco J. 2021, ‘Multi-annual prediction of drought and heat stress to support decision making in the wheat sector’, Npj Climate And Atmospheric Science, 4, 1, 34.

– Meehl, Gerald A. et al. 2021, ‘Initialized Earth System prediction from subseasonal to decadal timescales’, Nature Reviews Earth & Environment, 2, 5, 340 – 357.

Selected research activities

– Coordinating lead author of the Sixth Assessment Report of the Integovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)

– Co-author of more than 20 peer-reviewed publications in 2021

ICREA Memoir 2021