Francisco Javier Doblas-Reyes

Francisco Javier Doblas-Reyes

Barcelona Supercomputing Center - Centro Nacional de Supercomputación

Experimental Sciences & Mathematics

I started working on climate variability at the Universidad Complutense de Madrid (Spain) in 1992, where I did my PhD. I then worked as a postdoc in Météofrance (Toulouse, France), at the Instituto Nacional de Técnica Aerospacial (Torrejón, Spain) and for ten years at the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (Reading, UK). I led the Climate Forecast Unit at the Institut Català de Ciències del Clima (IC3) from 2010 to 2015. I am currently the head of the Department of Earth Sciences of the Barcelona Supercomputing Center (BSC-CNS). The Department hosts more than 100 engineers, physicists, mathematicians and social scientists who try to bring the latest developments in supercomputing and data analysis to provide the best information and services on climate and air quality. I am author of more than 170 peer-reviewed papers (h index 50, scopus), member of several international scientific committees and supervisor of several postdocs, engineers and PhD students.

Research interests

Global climate is highly variable, which implies that there is much more to understand than just climate change. Climate prediction aims at predicting the variations of climate at different time scales, ranging from one month to several years beyond the start of the forecast. I use an Earth system model based on differential equations to explore the limits of the forecast quality over different parts of the globe, in particular over Africa, South America, the Arctic and Southern Europe. I develop this model to explore the advantages of increasing its resolution to better reproduce the physical processes at the origin of climate variability. I also use statistical techniques to adapt the resulting climate information to specific user needs. Improving the application of this climate information to different socio-economic sectors, with a special focus on energy and disaster risk management, is one of my main targets to try to make a change in both society and the economy.

Selected publications

– Terrado M, Lledo L, Bojovic D, Lera St Clair A, Soret A, Doblas-Reyes FJ, Manzanas R, San-Martin D, Jimenez CI 2019, ‘The Weather Roulette: A Game to Communicate the Usefulness of Probabilistic Climate Predictions’, Bulletin Of The American Meteorological Society, 100, 10, 1909 – 1921.

– Smith DM, Eade R, Scaife AA, Caron L-P; Danabasoglu G, DelSole TM, Delworth T, Doblas-Reyes FJ, Dunstone NJ, Hermanson L, Kharin V, Kimoto M, Merryfield WJ, Mochizuki T, Mueller WA, Pohlmann H, Yeager S & Yang X 2019, ‘Robust skill of decadal climate predictions’, Npj Climate And Atmospheric Science, 2, UNSP 13.

– Solaraju-Murali B, Caron L; Gonzalez-Reviriego N & Doblas-Reyes FJ 2019, ‘Multi-year prediction of European summer drought conditions for the agricultural sector’, Environmental Research Letters, 14, 12, 124014.

– Kushnir Y, Scaife AA, Arritt R, Balsamo G, Boer G, Doblas-Reyes F, Hawkins E, Kimoto M, Kolli RK, Kumar A, Matei D, Matthes K, Mueller WA, O’Kane T, Perlwitz J, Power S, Raphael M, Shimpo A, Smith D, Tuma M & Wu B 2019, ‘Towards operational predictions of the near-term climate’, Nature Climate Change, 9, 2, 94 – 101.

– Bellprat O, Guemas V, Doblas-Reyes F & Donat MG 2019, ‘Towards reliable extreme weather and climate event attribution’, Nature Communications, 10, 1732.

Selected research activities

– Coordinating lead author of the Sixth Assessment Report of the Integovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)

– Co-chair of the World Climate Research Programme (WCRP) Modeling Advisory Council.

– Responsible of the Spanish contribution to the WCRP Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6)

– Co-author of 22 peer-reviewed publications in 2019.